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Trump, Inflation and Tariffs

Where’s the Inflation From Tariffs? Just Wait, Economists Say.

It’s a view held by most economists since long before President Trump entered the White House. Prices rose when Mr. Trump imposed levies on China in his first term, though that did not translate to noticeably higher inflation overall.

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Inflation ticked slightly higher in May amid Trump tariffs

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Inflation rose less than expected last month despite Trump’s tariffs

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Wholesale Inflation Continues to Moderate

Prices paid by businesses for their goods rose a modest 0.1% in May, below estimates, the Labor Department said on Thursday.

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U.S. inflation up 2.4% in May, but Phoenix prices still climbing slower than nationally

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Inflation barely rose last month as cheaper gas and cars offset some costlier imports

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US Inflation Beats Estimates for a Fourth Month

The string of below-forecast inflation readings could be attributable to how many of the administration’s threatened levies are on hold.

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Bonds Rally, Stocks Slip After Inflation Data

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Inflation rose less than expected in May despite Trump’s tariff turmoil

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Fed expected to keep rates steady as tariff risks outweigh inflation data

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady next week, with investors focused on new central bank projections that will show how much weight policymakers are putting on recent soft data and how much risk they attach to unresolved trade and budget issues.

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Here are the three reasons why tariffs have yet to drive inflation higher

Despite widespread fears to the contrary, President Donald Trump’s tariffs have yet to show up in any of the traditional data points measuring inflation

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Fmr. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen: Tariffs could push inflation to 3%

Former Treasury Secretary and Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen expects inflation to rise to “at least 3% or slightly over” due to tariffs, despite recent encouraging signs of price stabilization. During a CNBC interview,

U.S. Inflation Remains Muted, With Limited Effects From Tariffs

The Consumer Price Index rose 2.4 percent in May, from a year earlier, a reading that reflects only the initial impact of President Trump’s tariffs.

Your Social Security check could rise 2.5% in 2026, but inflation and tariffs are still in question

Both the Senior Citizens League, an advocacy group for older adults, and independent Social Security and Medicare analyst Mary Johnson expect the 2026 COLA to be 2.5%, up from their forecasts of 2.4% last month. The average COLA, which is calculated using a formula based on consumer prices, has been 2.6% over the past 20 years.

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Inflation inched up less than expected in May with little sign of tariffs

Fresh inflation figures due out Wednesday could offer an early glimpse into whether President Donald Trump’s tariffs are beginning to drive up the cost of everyday products.

BlackRock CEO on Tariffs: ‘We’re Going to See Very Elevated Inflation’

Speaking at Forbes Iconoclast Summit, BlackRock’s CEO Larry Fink said he expected higher inflation if the tariffs are implemented in the coming months.

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Inflation might start to rise again due to tariffs. May CPI in Wall Street’s crosshairs.

The rate of inflation fell in the spring to the lowest level in more than four years even as high U.S. tariffs threatened to increase prices again. Is the bill from trade wars about to come do?